“Our Pearl Harbor moment”

It's really easy in a situation like this to lose track of what's been said, done, and predicted within the last few weeks. We are inundated with new information and models every day, and no one pauses to learn from the (recent) past. So let's do that right now. Review the graph below and meet …

The Pivot

Now that we're several weeks into this pandemic and covidiocracy (my term for the ever-evolving new laws and social expectations) is fairly well-spread, we are clearly at the point where we can look at the projections that started all this and compare them to reality. And almost everyone, on all sides, admits that the models …

We Have To Kill the Patient to Save Her

Covidiocracy is spreading... https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1248206518169804801

Like a Set of Fine China

All societies have inherent contradictions, as all people have them (we call it hypocrisy but essentially it's where our actions don't fit our supposed beliefs). This was true of the founding of this country, when we claimed all men were created equal as we slapped Africans in chains. And it's even more true today... we …

Current Numbers

Third Time’s the Charm

Those are the new forecasts from IHME today... just two days after their previous update said 82,000 would die, which replaced the previous forecast from last week of 94,000. Now before anyone says "Well, that's because quarantine is working"... bear in mind, all of IHME's projections have assumed "full social distancing til May". So they …

The Gray of COVID-19

We wonder why people seem to be so partisan. Those on the other side of the aisle, whatever the "aisle" is, are always wrong and nonredeemable. But MY side, now there's the ticket. Politics are where this becomes most obvious, but it's true in so many other areas of life. And I think that's because …

The Tuesday Bounce?

You'll notice that deaths and hospitalizations jumped significantly today, though still well below the projections. This was expected for various reasons, one being that Tuesdays can tend to have a bit of a bounce after the weekend data gets updated. Additionally, Illinois and New Jersey appear to finally be reporting hospitalization numbers, but they are …

Nosocomial?

This is interesting and informative, and matches a theory I've seen mentioned (even Governor Cuomo talked about it). Basically, the worst idea was severe quarantine, as it drove people into their homes and into hospitals, rather than getting out and about. The reason for this is because the virus spreads easiest in close contact, which …

Freedom!

A good sign out of Europe. Schools and day care centres are set to reopen in Denmark on 15 April in what will be the first steps the country is taking to ease its quarantine rules, while Norway will do so five days later.